Political
Footnotes
by
Stuart James


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IPS Features Staff

International Press Service

 






The Quagmire

On September 10th the President of the United States said Iraqi national elections will occur in January of 2005. On September 16, the President said national elections are scheduled for January while noting ongoing acts of violence in Iraq.  The President, moreover, told supporters that “this country [Iraq] is headed toward democracy."

The President’s optimistic outlook came at the same time the intelligence community released its National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq.  According to the National Intelligence Estimate, Iraq is headed toward several years of turmoil, with the darkest alternative being civil war.

The report does not support the President’s view that Iraq is headed toward democracy. The National Intelligence Estimate shows America is heading for a long, violent conflict in Iraq. 

The United States is spending $200 billion on this war, a war without a clear plan of action.  The President is not outlining an exit strategy, a sound plan to establish democracy or a plan avoiding a degradation of conditions leading to civil war.

Each day brings continuing bad news about Iraq—news showing a degradation of conditions.  On September 12, the New York Times Service reported "United Nations Secretary General says war on Iraq was illegal.”  On the same date, the Associated Press reported "gun men kidnapped two Americans, Briton in Baghdad.”  On September 16, Knight Ridder reported "US troops find three decapitated bodies near Baghdad."   September 16, 2004, also brought news from the New York Times that US intelligence offers gloomy outlook for Iraq, reporting that the National Intelligence Estimate outlines three scenarios from "a tenuous stability to political fragmentation and the most negative assessment of civil war..." Finally, on Saturday, September 19, 2004 Knight-Ridder newspapers reported "Iraq violence continues to escalate."

With gloomy headlines hitting us on a daily basis, Americans must ask themselves whether the war in Iraq will result in optimistic results or whether Iraq will end up in a violent civil war.  Are we heading for another Viet Nam?

Admittedly, the world is better without Saddam Hussein.  However, the world is not better if we continue to sink into the quagmire being created in Iraq.  Without a sound exit strategy, people will continue to die, tax dollars will continue to be spent, and instability will continue to grow.  There must be a plan for stabilization and exit.

Under current conditions, we cannot expect this President to provide us with a plan of stabilization and exit, not when he blindly claims that the Iraqi people are on their way to democracy; particularly when it appears that the people of Iraq are on their way to civil war.

Stuart James

Sjames139@comcast.net